Archive for the ‘JoanParcewski.LAERRealty.com’ Category

Real Estate Bubble? That May Not be the Question

“Are we in a real estate bubble?” can still be a nagging thought for prospective Jamestown home buyers. It turns out that it might not be the most relevant question.

When you buy a home in Jamestown, you commit to what is actually a two-pronged proposition. One part is ultra-conservative: its practical utility as shelter. Being master of the roof over your head doesn’t just let you feel like you have a grip on the future—it removes a sizeable chunk of the unknown from your family’s prospects.

It’s that other aspect of owning your Jamestown home (or a home anywhere) that can trigger hesitation. When all is said and done, this is also an investment vehicle—perhaps the largest most people will ever acquire. Although this aspect, too, is often considered to be quite conservative, within the past decade there was a time when common wisdom had it that buying homes was such a risky financial gambit that only the bravest (or wealthiest) were tempted to take the plunge.

So—which is it? Is it simply a 50-50 proposition—or is there a straightforward answer to whether buying a home in Jamestown is more of a chancy venture than a prudent one?

For the risk-averse, the good news is that history does give us a reliable answer—one that depends on just one qualifier. Owning your home is a high-risk investment only if the frame of reference is short term. Over the long haul, it’s about as conservative as an investment can get.

Here’s why. Last decade’s Great Recession—and the residential real estate bust which accompanied it—were preceded by what was unarguably a full-blown real estate bubble. All the earmarks of a real estate bubble were present, here in Jamestown, across the nation, and internationally.

For a buyer who purchased at the height of the bubble, the fall in value was precipitous. From 2007 to mid-2008, the drop in U.S. residential prices was nearly 33%—a plunge not seen since the Great Depression of the 1930s. For a buyer who had purchased at the height of the bubble, selling within a short timeframe could result in a significant loss. In that case, their investment would have been almost as risky as a stock market speculation (the S&P lost 50%).

Yet for homeowners who had no reason to sell, the actual dollar losses never materialized. By this time last year, buyers in most parts of the country were willing to pay prices that exceeded the heights of 2006. Inflation has had an effect—yet current moderate residential price rises have been outstripping inflation in recent years. In fact, last week the Economist found that “across America, prices appear to be at fair value when compared to their long-run averages.”

So the more important question may not be the one about real estate bubbles at all. It’s about whether a prospective home in Jamestown (or any other community) is intended as a short or a long-term purchase. In all cases, I hope you’ll call me to supply my experience and up-to-the-moment market insight.

 

Joan Parcewski, Realtor & Notary

LAER Realty Partners           http://www.JoanParcewski.LAERRealty.com

JParcewski@LAERRealty.com    cell 978-376-3978

Laer Realty PartnersJoan Parcewski Full Picture 102017

 

 

Top 4 Reasons Rental Housing is On the Rise

Whether you are investigating Burlington rental housing activity because you’re looking for an investment or just a place to rent yourself, it’s important to become informed about the state of play in rental housing as a whole. It’s a picture that has been changing rapidly—one that’s unlikely to slow anytime soon.

Much is being written about the growing popularity of rental housing due to younger buyers who either can’t yet afford (or simply choose to avoid) taking on the commitment that homeownership entails. But that’s not the only factor contributing to what amounts to a nationwide shift in rental housing’s popularity.

This summer’s in-depth study by the Urban Institute presented four points explaining why “renting homes is overtaking the housing market.”

Overtaking” may be an overstatement as it relates to today’s rental housing profile in Burlington, but there can be little doubt that the points are on target for the U.S. as a whole. It’s also inevitable that we can count on similar factors affecting Burlington’s rental housing future.

In brief, here are their findings:

  • Renter profiles are changing. Millennials are not buying their own homes as early as previous generations, and many in the 65+ set are choosing to rent. As expected, new immigrants continue to choose to rent.
  • Supply trails demand. High-end developments continue to monopolize new construction activity, neglecting the larger “more-affordable” sector.
  • Renovations are lagging. Under-repaired rentals have resulted from inattention by investors…but some great ideas are making rehabilitation more cost-effective.
  • Single-family rentals are becoming more popular. Multifamily projects have long been the focus of government programs, but that’s changing as single-family rentals leap in popularity.

It’s a cinch that both Burlington tenants and landlords will continue to be affected by the kind of national currents that continue to put pressure on housing costs—and rents. Against that background, the potential for Burlington rental housing candidates should be well worth a hard look where investment goals make it appropriate. I’m here to put my deep market knowledge and experience at your service!

Joan Parcewski, Realtor & Notary

LAER Realty Partners           http://www.JoanParcewski.LAERRealty.com

JParcewski@LAERRealty.com    cell 978-376-3978

Laer Realty PartnersJoan Parcewski Full Picture 102017

 

Four Tips for Burlington Homeowners Bracing for Winter

Officially, it may not be winter in Burlington yet, but the end of November is more than a signal to turn to the last page in 2017’s calendar. It’s definitely time for Burlington residents to secure their domiciles against the mercury drops Mother Nature will be providing sooner or later.

Even in places where a November heat wave makes it hard to focus on the inevitable onslaught of chilly weather, there are some household winter preparation tips that apply equally to all areas of the country. Here are four tips to benefit just about every Burlington household:

  1. Tune up the heating system. Instead of hoping that the heat pump or furnace will make it through another year on its own, a preventive tune-up will result in lower fuel bills all winter—not to mention saving you from becoming 15th in the repair line when it fails on the coldest night of the year (when else would that happen?).
  2. Check the “overhead” (that is, the roof, gutters, vents, and chimney). Clearing leaves, pine needles or anything else up there can reveal spots vulnerable to leaks—or breaks in flashing seals. Water damage is much more costly to correct than are small-area roofing fixes.
  3. Mow any remaining leaves. If your yard still has leaves, mow rather than rake them. University studies have proved that leaves cut into dime-sized pieces (which takes several passes) will settle among the grass blades, nourishing them throughout the winter.
  4. Eliminate drafts. Every winter, Burlington homeowners lose truly astonishing amounts of heat due to air leaks. In addition to testing windows for rattles and door jams for gaps, the Department of Energy recommends an exterior walk-around to inspect all areas where two different building materials meet. With a caulk gun handy, also check cable and phone line entrances and where dryer vents pass through walls.

Based on a prediction for low sunspot activity, this year’s Farmers Almanac calls for a chilly winter—while NOAA concentrates on the 70% chance for a La Nina (which might bring normal precipitation except in the drier South).

In other words, Burlington’s winter weather outlook is anybody’s guess.

The foolproof solution is, as always, to be well prepared. In addition to anxiety relief, a side benefit of a consistently well-maintained home becomes evident when you put it up for sale—which is also when you should give me a call!

Joan Parcewski, Realtor & Notary

LAER Realty Partners           http://www.JoanParcewski.LAERRealty.com

JParcewski@LAERRealty.com    cell 978-376-3978

 

Laer Realty PartnersJoan Parcewski Full Picture 102017

 

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